2000 Ron Paul 36:1
The national debt
is rising
at an annual rate of a $100 billion per year while the federal
government obligation to future generations is rising even faster. Yet,
little concern is shown in Congress as our budgets grow and new
programs are added on to old. Ordinary political deception has been
replaced with the dangerous notion of invincibleness as members claim
credit for imaginary budgetary surpluses. The percent of our income
that government now takes continues to rise, while personal liberty is
steadily compromised with each new budget. But the political euphoria
associated with the New Era economy will soon come to an end.
2000 Ron Paul 36:2
Although many have
done well
during the last seven years of economic growth, many middle-income
families have had to struggle just to keep up. For them, inflation is
not dead and the easy fortunes made on Wall Street are as far removed
as winning the lottery. When the economy enters into recession, this
sense of frustration will spread.
2000 Ron Paul 36:3
Business cycles are
well
understood. They are not a natural consequence of capitalism but
instead result from central bank manipulation of credit. This is
especially true when the monetary unit is undefinable as it is in a
fiat monetary system, such as ours. Therefore, it is correct to place
blame on the Federal Reserve for all depressions/recessions, inflation,
and much of the unemployment since 1913. The next downturn, likewise,
will be the fault of the Fed.
2000 Ron Paul 36:4
It is true that the
apparent
prosperity and the boom part of the cycle are a result of the Federal
Reserve credit creation, but the price that must always be paid and the
unfairness of inflationism makes it a dangerous process.
2000 Ron Paul 36:5
The silly notion
that money
can be created at will by a printing press or through computer entries
is eagerly accepted by the majority as an easy road to riches, while
ignoring any need for austerity, hard work, saving, and a truly free
market economy. Those who actively endorse this system equate money
creation with wealth creation and see it as a panacea for the inherent
political difficulty in raising taxes or cutting spending.
2000 Ron Paul 36:6
A central bank that
has no
restraints placed on it is always available to the politicians who
spend endlessly for reelection purposes. When the private sector lacks
its appetite to lend sufficiently to the government, the Federal
Reserve is always available to buy treasury debt with credit created
out of thin air. At the slightest hint that interest rates are higher
than the Fed wants, its purchase of debt keeps interest rates in check;
that is, they are kept lower than the market rate. Setting interest
rates is an enormous undertaking. Its price fixing and totally foreign
to the principles of free market competition.
2000 Ron Paul 36:7
Since this process
is
economically stimulating, the politicians, the recipients of government
largess, the bankers, and almost everyone enjoys the benefits of what
seems to be a gift without cost.
2000 Ron Paul 36:8
But thats a
fallacy. There
is always a cost. Artificially low interest rates prompt lower savings,
over-capacity expansion, mal-investment, excessive borrowing,
speculation, and price increases in various segments of the economy.
And since money creation is not wealth creation, it inevitably leads to
a lower value for the currency. The inflation always comes to an end
with various victims, many of whom never enjoyed the benefits of the
credit creation and deficit spending.
2000 Ron Paul 36:9
This silly notion
of money
and credit gives rise to the conventional wisdom that once the economy
gets really rolling, its time for the Fed to stop economic growth. The
false supposition is that economic growth causes higher prices and
higher labor costs, and these evils must be prevented by tightening
credit and raising interest rates. But these are only the consequences
of the previous monetary expansion and blaming rising prices or higher
labor costs is done only to distract from the real culprit-monetary
inflation by the Federal Reserve.
2000 Ron Paul 36:10
In a free market,
economic
growth would never be considered a negative and purposely discouraged.
It is strange that so many established economists and politicians
accept the notion of dampening economic growth for this purpose.
Economic growth with sound money always lowers prices-it never raises
them. Deliberately increasing rates actually increase the cost of all
borrowing, and yet its claimed that this is necessary to stop rising
costs. Obviously, theres not much to the soundness of central economic
planning through monetary policy of this sort.
2000 Ron Paul 36:11
There are some who
see this
fallacy and object to deliberately slowing the economy but instead
clamor for even more monetary growth to keep interest rates low and the
economy booming. But this is just as silly because that leads to even
more debasement of the currency, rising prices, and instead of lowering
interest rates will in time, due to inflationary expectation, actually
raise rates.
2000 Ron Paul 36:12
Fine-tuning the
economy,
through monetary manipulation is a dangerous game to play. We are now
completing nearly a decade of rapid monetary growth and evidence is now
appearing indicating that we will soon start to pay for our profligate
ways. The financial bubble that the Fed manufactured over the past
decade or two will burst and the illusion of our great wealth will end.
In time, also the illusion of "surpluses for as far as the eye can see"
will end. Then the Congress will be forced to take much more seriously
the budgetary problems that it pretends do not exist.
This chapter appeared in Ron Pauls Congressional website at http://www.house.gov/paul/congrec/congrec2000/cr051500.htm