Introduction Of The Sunshine In Monetary Policy Act
7 March 2006
HON. RON PAUL
OF TEXAS
IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
Tuesday, March 7, 2006
2006 Ron Paul 10:1
Mr. PAUL. Mr. Speaker, I rise to introduce the Sunshine in Monetary Policy Act, which requires
the Federal Reserve to resume reporting
the monetary measure known as M3. M3
consists of M1 (M1 is currency in circulation
plus travelers checks, demand deposits, Negotiable
Order of Withdrawal (NOW) accounts,
and similar interest-earning checking account
balances) plus M2 (M2 is M1 plus household
holdings of savings deposits, small time deposits,
and retail money market mutual funds
balances except for balances held in IRA and
Keogh accounts) plus institutional money market
mutual fund balances and managed liabilities
of deposits consisting of large time deposits,
repurchase agreements, and
Eurodollars.
2006 Ron Paul 10:2
The Federal Reserve Board has recently announced it will stop reporting M3, thus depriving
Congress and the American people of
the most comprehensive measure of the
money supply. The cessation of Federal Reserves
weekly M3 report will make it more difficult
for policymakers, economists, investors,
and the general public to learn the true rate of
inflation. As Nobel laureate Milton Friedman
famously said, inflation is always and everywhere
a monetary phenomenon. Therefore,
having access to a comprehensive measure of
the money supply like M3 is a vital tool for
those seeking to track inflation. Thorsten
Polleit, honorary professor at HfB-Business
School of Finance and Management, in his article
Why Money Supply Matters posted on
the Ludwig von Mises Institutes website
mises.org, examined the relationship between
changes in the money supply and inflation and
concluded that money supply signals might
actually be far more important for inflation —
even in the short-term — than current central
bank practice suggests, thus demonstrating
the importance of the M3 aggregate.
2006 Ron Paul 10:3
The Federal Reserve Board has claimed neither policymakers nor the Federal Reserve
staff closely track M3. Even if M3 is not used
by Federal Reserve Board economists or legislators,
many financial services professionals
whose livelihoods depend on their ability to
obtain accurate information about the money
supply rely on M3. For example, my office has
been contacted by a professional money manger
complaining that the Federal Reserve
Boards discontinuing M3 reports will make it
difficult for him to do his job.
2006 Ron Paul 10:4
Whatever lack of interest policymakers are currently displaying in M3 is no doubt related
to the mistaken perception that the Federal
Reserve Board has finally figured out how to
effectively manage a fiat currency. This illusion
exists largely because the effects of the Feds
inflationary polices are concentrated in
malinvestments in specific sectors of the economy,
leading to bubbles such as the one
that occurred in the stock market in the late
nineties and the bubble that many believe is
occurring in the current real estate market.
When monetary inflation is reflected in sector-
specific bubbles, it is easier to pretend that the
bubbles are caused by problems specific to
those sectors, instead of reflecting the problems
inherent in a fiat currency system. Once
the damage to our economy done by our reliance
on fiat currency becomes clear, I am certain
that policymakers will once again take
more interest in M3.
2006 Ron Paul 10:5
Economists and others who are following M3 have become increasingly concerned
about inflation because last year the rate of
M3 rose almost twice as fast as other monetary
aggregates. This suggests that the inflation
picture is not as rosy as the Federal Reserve
would like Congress and the American
people to believe. Discontinuing reporting the
monetary aggregate that provides the best evidence
that the Federal Reserve Board has not
conquered inflation suggests to many people
that the government is trying to conceal information
about the true state of the economy
from the American people. Brad Conrad, a
professor of investing who has also worked
with IBM, CDC, and Amdahl, spoke for many
when he said, It [the discontinuance of M3] is
unsettling. It detracts from the transparency
the Fed preaches and adds to the suspicion
that the Fed wants to hide anything showing
money growth high enough to fuel inflation...
Discontinuing reporting M3 will only save
0.00000699% of the Federal Reserve Boards
yearly budget. This savings hardly seems to
justify depriving the American people of an important
measurement of money supply, especially
since Congress has tasked the Federal
Reserve Board with reporting on monetary aggregates.
2006 Ron Paul 10:6
Discontinuing reporting M3 may not be a violation of the letter of the Federal Reserve
Boards statutory duty, but it is a violation
of the spirit of the congressional command
that the Federal Reserve Board ensure
the American public is fully informed about the
effects of monetary policy.
2006 Ron Paul 10:7
Mr. Speaker, knowledge of the money supply is one of the keys to understanding the
state of the economy. The least the American
people should expect from the Federal Reserve
Board is complete and accurate information
regarding the money supply. I urge my
colleagues to ensure that the American people
can obtain that information by cosponsoring
the Sunshine in Monetary Policy Act.