2001 Ron Paul 13:1
Mr. Speaker: Many government and
Federal
Reserve officials have repeatedly argued that we have no inflation to
fear. Yet those who claim this, define inflation as rising consumer and
producer prices. Although inflation frequently leads to price increases
we must remember that the free market definition of inflation is the
increase in the supply of money and credit. Monetary inflation is
seductive in that it can cause great harm without significantly
affecting government price indices. The excess credit may well go into
stock market and real estate speculation with consumer price increases
limited to such things as energy, repairs, medical care and other
services. One should not conclude, as so many have in the past decade,
that we have no inflation to worry about. Imbalances did develop with
the 1990’s monetary inflation but were ignored. They are now becoming
readily apparent as sharp adjustments take place—such as we have seen
in the past year in the NASDAQ.
2001 Ron Paul 13:2
When one is permitted to use "rising
prices" as the definition for inflation it is followed by a nonsensical
assumption that a robust economy is the cause for rising prices.
Foolish conclusions of this sort lead our economic planners and Federal
Reserve officials to attempt to "solve " the problem of price or
labor-cost inflation by precipitating an economic slowdown. Such a
deliberate policy is anathema to a free market economy. It’s always
hoped that the planned economic slowdown will never do serious harm,
but this is never the case. The recession with rising prices still
comes. And that’s what we are seeing today.
2001 Ron Paul 13:3
Raising interest rates 6 times in
1999-2000 has had an effect and the central planners are now worried.
Falsely, they believe that if only the money spigot is once again
turned on, all will be well. That will prove to be a pipe dream.
2001 Ron Paul 13:4
It is now recognized that indeed the
economy has sharply turned downward—which is what was intended. But can
the downturn be controlled? Not likely! And "inflation" by even the
planner’s own definition is now raising its ugly head. For instance, in
the fourth quarter of last year labor costs rose at an annualized rate
of 6.6%, the biggest increase in 9 years.
2001 Ron Paul 13:5
And what’s happening to employment
conditions? They’re deteriorating rapidly. Economist Ed Hyman, reported
that 270,000 people lost their jobs in January, a 678% increase over a
year ago. A growing number of economists are now doubtful that
productivity growth will save us from the correction that many free
market economists predicted would come as an inevitable consequence of
the interest rate distortions that Federal Reserve policy causes.
2001 Ron Paul 13:6
Instead of blind faith in the Federal
Reserve to run the economy, we should become more aware of Congress’s
responsibility for maintaining a sound dollar and removing the monopoly
power of our central bank to create money and credit out of thin air
and fix short term interest rates—which is the real cause of all our
economic downturns.
2001 Ron Paul 13:7
Between 1995 and today, the Greenspan
Fed
increased the money supply as measured by (MZM) by $1.9 trillion or a
65% increase. There is no reason to look any further for the
explanation of why the economy is slipping with labor costs rising,
energy costs soaring, and medical and education costs skyrocketing,
while the stock market is disintegrating. Until we look at the
unconstitutional monopoly power the Federal Reserve has over money and
credit we can expect a continuation of our problems. Demanding lower
interest rates is merely insisting the Federal Reserve deliberately
create even more credit, which caused the problem in the first place.
We cannot restore soundness to the dollar by debasing the dollar—which
is what lowering interest rates is all about—printing more money.
2001 Ron Paul 13:8
When control is lost in a sharp
downturn,
dealing with it by massive monetary inflation, may well cause something
worse than the stagflation that we experienced in the 1970s; an
inflationary recession or depression could result.
2001 Ron Paul 13:9
This need not happen and won’t if we
demand that our dollar not be casually and deliberately debased by our
unaccountable Federal Reserve.
This chapter appeared in Ron Pauls Congressional website at http://www.house.gov/paul/congrec/congrec2001/cr021401.htm