HON. RON PAUL OF TEXAS
IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
September 5, 2003
Paper Money and Tyranny
2003 Ron Paul 93:1
All great republics throughout history cherished
sound money. This meant that the monetary unit was a commodity of
honest weight
and purity. When money was sound, civilizations were found to be more
prosperous
and freedom thrived. The less free a society becomes, the greater the
likelihood
its money is being debased and the economic well-being of its citizens
diminished.
2003 Ron Paul 93:2
Alan Greenspan, years before he became Federal Reserve Board
Chairman in
charge of flagrantly debasing the U.S. dollar, wrote about this
connection
between sound money, prosperity, and freedom. In his article “Gold and
Economic Freedom” (
The Objectivist,
July 1966), Greenspan starts
by
saying: “An almost hysterical
antagonism toward the gold standard is an issue that unites statists of
all
persuasions. They seem to sense…that gold and economic freedom are
inseparable.” Further he states
that: “Under the gold standard, a
free banking system stands as the protector of an economy’s stability
and
balanced growth.” Astoundingly,
Mr. Greenspan’s analysis of the 1929 market crash, and how the Fed
precipitated the crisis, directly parallels current conditions we are
experiencing under his management of the Fed. Greenspan explains:
“The excess credit which the Fed pumped into the economy spilled
over
into the stock market- triggering a fantastic speculative boom.”
And, “…By 1929 the speculative imbalances had become
overwhelming and
unmanageable by the Fed.” Greenspan
concluded his article by stating: “In the absence of the gold standard,
there
is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation.”
He explains that the “shabby secret” of the proponents of big
government and paper money is that deficit spending is simply nothing
more than
a “scheme for the hidden confiscation of wealth.”
Yet here we are today with a purely fiat monetary system,
managed almost
exclusively by Alan Greenspan, who once so correctly denounced the
Fed’s role
in the Depression while recognizing the need for sound money.
2003 Ron Paul 93:3
The Founders of this country, and a large majority of the
American people
up until the 1930s, disdained paper money, respected commodity money,
and
disapproved of a central bank’s monopoly control of money creation and
interest rates. Ironically, it was the abuse of the gold standard, the
Fed’s
credit-creating habits of the 1920s, and its subsequent mischief in the
1930s,
that not only gave us the Great Depression, but also prolonged it. Yet
sound
money was blamed for all the suffering. That’s why people hardly
objected when
Roosevelt and his statist friends confiscated gold and radically
debased the
currency, ushering in the age of worldwide fiat currencies with which
the
international economy struggles today.
2003 Ron Paul 93:4
If honest money and freedom are inseparable, as Mr. Greenspan
argued, and
paper money leads to tyranny, one must wonder why it’s so popular with
economists, the business community, bankers, and our government
officials. The
simplest explanation is that it’s a human trait to always seek the
comforts of
wealth with the least amount of effort. This desire is quite positive
when it
inspires hard work and innovation in a capitalist society. Productivity
is
improved and the standard of living goes up for everyone. This process
has
permitted the poorest in today’s capitalist countries to enjoy luxuries
never
available to the royalty of old.
2003 Ron Paul 93:5
But this human trait of seeking wealth and comfort with the
least amount
of effort is often abused. It leads some to believe that by certain
monetary
manipulations, wealth can be made more available to everyone.
Those who believe in fiat money often believe wealth can be
increased
without a commensurate amount of hard work and innovation. They also
come to
believe that savings and market control of interest rates are not only
unnecessary, but actually hinder a productive growing economy. Concern
for
liberty is replaced by the illusion that material benefits can be more
easily
obtained with fiat money than through hard work and ingenuity. The
perceived
benefits soon become of greater concern for society than the
preservation of
liberty. This does not mean proponents of fiat money embark on a
crusade to
promote tyranny, though that is what it leads to, but rather they hope
they have
found the philosopher’s stone and a modern alternative to the challenge
of
turning lead into gold.
2003 Ron Paul 93:6
Our Founders thoroughly understood this issue, and warned us
against the
temptation to seek wealth and fortune without the work and savings that
real
prosperity requires. James Madison warned of “The pestilent effects of
paper
money,” as the Founders had vivid memories of the destructiveness of
the
Continental dollar. George Mason of Virginia said that he had a “Mortal
hatred
to paper money.” Constitutional
Convention delegate Oliver Ellsworth from Connecticut thought the
convention
“A favorable moment to shut and bar the door against paper money.”
This view of the evils of paper money was shared by almost all
the
delegates to the convention, and was the reason the Constitution
limited
congressional authority to deal with the issue and mandated that only
gold and
silver could be legal tender. Paper money was prohibited and no central
bank was
authorized. Over and above the economic reasons for honest money,
however,
Madison argued the moral case for such. Paper money, he explained,
destroyed
“The necessary confidence between man and man, on necessary confidence
in
public councils, on the industry and morals of people and on the
character of
republican government.”
2003 Ron Paul 93:7
The Founders were well aware of the biblical admonitions against
dishonest weights and measures, debased silver, and watered-down wine.
The issue
of sound money throughout history has been as much a moral issue as an
economic
or political issue.
2003 Ron Paul 93:8
Even with this history and great concern expressed by the
Founders, the
barriers to paper money have been torn asunder. The Constitution has
not been
changed, but is no longer applied to the issue of money. It was once
explained
to me, during the debate over going to war in Iraq, that a declaration
of war
was not needed because to ask for such a declaration was “frivolous”
and
that the portion of the Constitution dealing with congressional war
power was
“anachronistic.” So too, it seems that the
power over money given to Congress
alone and limited to coinage and honest weights, is now also
“anachronistic.”
2003 Ron Paul 93:9
If indeed our generation can make the case for paper money,
issued by an
unauthorized central bank, it behooves us to at least have enough
respect for
the Constitution to amend it in a proper fashion. Ignoring the
Constitution in
order to perform a pernicious act is detrimental in two ways. First,
debasing
the currency as a deliberate policy is economically destructive beyond
measure.
Second, doing it without consideration for the rule of law undermines
the entire
fabric of our Constitutional republic.
2003 Ron Paul 93:10
Though the need for sound money is currently not a pressing
issue for
Congress, it’s something that cannot be ignored because serious
economic
problems resulting from our paper money system are being forced upon
us. As a
matter of fact, we deal with the consequences on a daily basis, yet
fail to see
the connection between our economic problems and the mischief
orchestrated by
the Federal Reserve.
2003 Ron Paul 93:11
All the great religions teach honesty in money, and the economic
shortcomings of paper money were well known when the Constitution was
written,
so we must try to understand why an entire generation of Americans have
come to
accept paper money without hesitation, without question.
Most Americans are oblivious to the entire issue of the nature
and
importance of money. Many in authority, however, have either been
misled by
false notions or see that the power to create money is indeed a power
they
enjoy, as they promote their agenda of welfarism at home and empire
abroad.
2003 Ron Paul 93:12
Money is a moral, economic, and political issue. Since the
monetary unit
measures every economic transaction, from wages to prices, taxes, and
interest
rates, it is vitally important that its value is honestly established
in the
marketplace without bankers, government, politicians, or the Federal
Reserve
manipulating its value to serve special interests.
Money As
a Moral
Issue
2003 Ron Paul 93:13
The moral issue regarding money should be the easiest to understand, but
almost no
one in Washington thinks of money in these terms. Although there is a
growing
and deserved distrust in government per se, trust in money and the
Federal
Reserve’s ability to manage it remains strong. No one would welcome a
counterfeiter to town, yet this same authority is blindly given to our
central
bank without any serious oversight by the Congress.
2003 Ron Paul 93:14
When the government can replicate the monetary unit at will
without
regard to cost, whether it’s paper currency or a computer entry, it’s
morally identical to the counterfeiter who illegally prints currency.
Both ways,
it’s fraud.
2003 Ron Paul 93:15
A fiat monetary system allows power and influence to fall into
the hands
of those who control the creation of new money, and to those who get to
use the
money or credit early in its circulation. The insidious and eventual
cost falls
on unidentified victims who are usually oblivious to the cause of their
plight.
This system of legalized plunder (though not constitutional) allows one
group to
benefit at the expense of another. An actual transfer of wealth goes
from the
poor and the middle class to those in privileged financial positions.
2003 Ron Paul 93:16
In many societies the middle class has actually been wiped out
by
monetary inflation, which always accompanies fiat money. The high cost
of living
and loss of jobs hits one segment of society, while in the early stages
of
inflation, the business class actually benefits from the easy credit.
An astute
stock investor or home builder can make millions in the boom phase of
the
business cycle, while the poor and those dependent on fixed incomes
can’t keep
up with the rising cost of living.
2003 Ron Paul 93:17
Fiat money is also immoral because it allows government to
finance
special interest legislation that otherwise would have to be paid for
by direct
taxation or by productive enterprise. This transfer of wealth occurs
without
directly taking the money out of someone’s pocket. Every dollar created
dilutes the value of existing dollars in circulation. Those individuals
who
worked hard, paid their taxes, and saved some money for a rainy day are
hit the
hardest, with their dollars being depreciated in value while earning
interest
that is kept artificially low by the Federal Reserve easy-credit
policy. The
easy credit helps investors and consumers who have no qualms about
going into
debt and even declaring bankruptcy.
2003 Ron Paul 93:18
If one sees the welfare state and foreign militarism as improper
and
immoral, one understands how the license to print money permits these
policies
to go forward far more easily than if they had to be paid for
immediately by
direct taxation.
2003 Ron Paul 93:19
Printing money, which is literally inflation, is nothing more
than a
sinister and evil form of hidden taxation. It’s unfair and deceptive,
and
accordingly strongly opposed by the authors of the Constitution. That
is why
there is no authority for Congress, the Federal Reserve, or the
executive branch
to operate the current system of money we have today.
Money
As a
Political Issue
2003 Ron Paul 93:20
Although the money issue
today is of little political
interest to the parties and politicians, it should not be ignored.
Policy makers
must contend with the consequences of the business cycle, which result
from the
fiat monetary system under which we operate. They may not understand
the
connection now, but eventually they must.
2003 Ron Paul 93:21
In the past, money and gold have been dominant issues in several
major
political campaigns. We find that
when the people have had a voice in the matter, they inevitably chose
gold over
paper. To the common man, it just makes sense. As a matter of fact, a
large
number of Americans, perhaps a majority, still believe our dollar is
backed by
huge hoards of gold in Fort Knox.
2003 Ron Paul 93:22
The monetary issue, along with the desire to have free trade
among the
states, prompted those at the Constitutional Convention to seek
solutions to
problems that plagued the post-revolutionary war economy. This post-war
recession was greatly aggravated by the collapse of the unsound fiat
Continental
dollar. The people, through their representatives, spoke loudly and
clearly for
gold and silver over paper.
2003 Ron Paul 93:23
Andrew Jackson, a strong proponent of gold and opponent of
central
banking (the Second Bank of the United States,) was a hero to the
working class
and was twice elected president. This issue was fully debated in his
presidential campaigns. The people voted for gold over paper.
2003 Ron Paul 93:24
In the 1870s, the people once again spoke out clearly against
the
greenback inflation of Lincoln. Notoriously, governments go to paper
money while
rejecting gold to promote unpopular and unaffordable wars. The return
to gold in
1879 went smoothly and was welcomed by the people, putting behind them
the
disastrous Civil War inflationary period.
2003 Ron Paul 93:25
Grover Cleveland, elected twice to the presidency, was also a
strong
advocate of the gold standard.
2003 Ron Paul 93:26
Again, in the presidential race of 1896, William McKinley argued
the case
for gold. In spite of the great orations by William Jennings Bryant,
who
supported monetary inflation and made a mocking “Cross of Gold” speech,
the
people rallied behind McKinley’s bland but correct arguments for sound
money.
2003 Ron Paul 93:27
The 20
th
Century was much less sympathetic to gold.
Since 1913
central banking has been accepted in the United States without much
debate,
despite the many economic and political horrors caused or worsened by
the
Federal Reserve since its establishment. The ups and downs of the
economy have
all come as a consequence of Fed policies, from the Great Depression to
the
horrendous stagflation of the ‘70s, as well as the current ongoing
economic
crisis.
2003 Ron Paul 93:28
A central bank and fiat money enable
government to maintain an
easy war policy that under strict monetary rules would not be
achievable. In
other words, countries with sound monetary policies would rarely go to
war
because they could not afford to, especially if they were not attacked.
The people could not be taxed enough to support wars without
destroying
the economy. But by printing money, the cost can be delayed and hidden,
sometimes for years if not decades. To be truly opposed to preemptive
and
unnecessary wars one must advocate sound money to prevent the promoters
of war
from financing their imperialism.
2003 Ron Paul 93:29
Look at how the military budget is exploding, deficits are
exploding, and
tax revenues are going down. No problem; the Fed is there and will
print
whatever is needed to meet our military commitments, whether it’s wise
to do
so or not.
2003 Ron Paul 93:30
The money issue should indeed be a gigantic political issue.
Fiat money
hurts the economy, finances wars, and allows for excessive welfarism.
When these
connections are realized and understood, it will once again become a
major
political issue, since paper money never lasts. Ultimately politicians
will not
have a choice of whether to address or take a position on the money
issue. The
people and circumstances will demand it.
2003 Ron Paul 93:31
We do hear some talk about monetary policy and criticism
directed toward
the Federal Reserve, but it falls far short of what I’m talking about.
Big-spending welfarists constantly complain about Fed policy, usually
demanding
lower interest rates even when rates are at historic lows.
Big-government
conservatives promoting grand worldwide military operations, while
arguing that
“deficits don’t matter” as long as marginal tax rates are lowered, also
constantly criticize the Fed for high interest rates and lack of
liquidity.
Coming from both the left and the right, these demands would not occur
if money
could not be created out of thin air at will. Both sides are asking for
the same
thing from the Fed for different reasons. They want the printing
presses to run
faster and create more credit, so that the economy will be healed like
magic- or
so they believe.
2003 Ron Paul 93:32
This is not the kind of interest in the Fed that we need. I’m
anticipating that we should and one day will be forced to deal with the
definition of the dollar and what money should consist of. The current
superficial discussion about money merely shows a desire to tinker with
the
current system in hopes of improving the deteriorating economy. There
will be a
point, though, when the tinkering will no longer be of any benefit and
even the
best advice will be of no value. We have just gone through
two-and-a-half years
of tinkering with 13 rate cuts, and recovery has not yet been achieved.
It’s
just possible that we’re much closer than anyone realizes to that day
when it
will become absolutely necessary to deal with the monetary issue- both
philosophically and strategically- and forget about the band-aid
approach to the
current system.
Money as
an
Economic Issue
2003 Ron Paul 93:33
For a time,
the economic consequences of paper money may seem benign and even
helpful, but
are always disruptive to economic growth and prosperity.
2003 Ron Paul 93:34
Economic planners of the Keynesian-socialist type have always
relished
control over money creation in their efforts to regulate and plan the
economy.
They have no qualms with using this power to pursue their egalitarian
dreams of
wealth redistribution. That force and fraud are used to make the
economic system
supposedly fairer is of little concern to them.
2003 Ron Paul 93:35
There are also many conservatives who do not endorse central
economic
planning as those on the left do, but nevertheless concede this
authority to the
Federal Reserve to manipulate the economy through monetary policy. Only
a small
group of constitutionalists, libertarians, and Austrian free-market
economists
reject the notion that central planning, through interest-rate and
money-supply
manipulation, is a productive endeavor.
2003 Ron Paul 93:36
Many sincere politicians, bureaucrats, and bankers endorse the
current
system, not out of malice or greed, but because it’s the only system
they have
know. The principles of sound money
and free market banking are not taught in our universities. The
overwhelming
consensus in Washington, as well as around the world, is that commodity
money
without a central bank is no longer practical or necessary. Be assured,
though,
that certain individuals who greatly benefit from a paper money system
know
exactly why the restraints that a commodities standard would have are
unacceptable.
2003 Ron Paul 93:37
Though the economic consequences of paper money in the early
stage affect
lower-income and middle-class citizens, history shows that when the
destruction
of monetary value becomes rampant, nearly everyone suffers and the
economic and
political structure becomes unstable. There’s good reason for all of us
to be
concerned about our monetary system and the future of the dollar.
2003 Ron Paul 93:38
Nations that live beyond their means must always pay for their
extravagance. It’s easy to understand why future generations inherit a
burden
when the national debt piles up. This requires others to pay the
interest and
debts when they come due. The victims are never the recipients of the
borrowed
funds. But this is not exactly what happens when a country pays off its
debt.
The debt, in nominal terms, always goes up, and since it is still
accepted by
mainstream economists that just borrowing endlessly is not the road to
permanent
prosperity, real debt must be reduced. Depreciating the value of the
dollar does
that. If the dollar loses 10% of its value, the national debt of $6.5
trillion
is reduced in real terms by $650 billion dollars. That’s a pretty neat
trick
and quite helpful- to the government.
2003 Ron Paul 93:39
That’s why the Fed screams about a coming
deflation, so it can continue the devaluation of the dollar unabated.
The
politicians don’t mind, the bankers welcome the business activity, and
the
recipients of the funds passed out by Congress never complain. The
greater the
debt, the greater the need to inflate the currency, since debt cannot
be the
source of long-term wealth. Individuals and corporations who borrow too
much
eventually must cut back and pay off debt and start anew, but
governments rarely
do.
2003 Ron Paul 93:40
But where’s the hitch? This
process, which seems to be a creative way of paying off
debt, eventually undermines the capitalist structure of the economy,
thus making
it difficult to produce wealth, and that’s when the whole process comes
to an
end. This system causes many economic problems, but most of them stem
from the
Fed’s interference with the market rate of interest that it achieves
through
credit creation and printing money.
2003 Ron Paul 93:41
Nearly 100 years ago, Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises
explained and
predicted the failure of socialism. Without a pricing mechanism, the
delicate
balance between consumers and producers would be destroyed. Freely
fluctuating
prices provide vital information to the entrepreneur who is making key
decisions
on production. Without this information, major mistakes are made. A
central
planning bureaucrat cannot be a substitute for the law of supply and
demand.
2003 Ron Paul 93:42
Though generally accepted by most modern economists and
politicians,
there is little hesitancy in accepting the omnipotent wisdom of the
Federal
Reserve to know the “price” of money – the interest rate – and its proper
supply. For decades, and especially during the 1990s – when Chairman
Greenspan
was held in such high esteem, and no one dared question his judgment or
the
wisdom of the system- this process was allowed to run unimpeded by
political or
market restraints. Just as we must eventually pay for our perpetual
deficits,
continuous manipulation of interest and credit will also extract a
payment.
2003 Ron Paul 93:43
Artificially low interest rates deceive investors into believing
that
rates are low because savings are high and represent funds not spent on
consumption. When the Fed creates bank deposits out of thin air making
loans
available at below-market rates, mal-investment and overcapacity
results,
setting the stage for the next recession or depression. The easy credit
policy
is welcomed by many: stock-market
investors, home builders, home buyers, congressional spendthrifts,
bankers, and
many other consumers who enjoy borrowing at low rates and not worrying
about
repayment. However, perpetual good times cannot come from a printing
press or
easy credit created by a Federal Reserve computer. The piper will
demand
payment, and the downturn in the business cycle will see to it. The
downturn is
locked into place by the artificial boom that everyone enjoys, despite
the
dreams that we have ushered in a “new economic era.”
Let there be no doubt: the business cycle, the stagflation, the
recessions, the depressions, and the inflations are not a result of
capitalism
and sound money, but rather are a direct result of paper money and a
central
bank that is incapable of managing it.
2003 Ron Paul 93:44
Our current monetary system makes it tempting for all parties,
individuals, corporations, and government to go into debt. It
encourages
consumption over investment and production. Incentives to save are
diminished by
the Fed’s making new credit available to everyone and keeping interest
rates
on saving so low that few find it advisable to save for a rainy day.
This is
made worse by taxing interest earned on savings. It plays havoc with
those who
do save and want to live off their interest. The artificial rates may
be 4, 5,
or even 6% below the market rate, and the savers- many who are elderly
and on
fixed incomes- suffer unfairly at the hands of Alan Greenspan, who
believes that
resorting to money creation will solve our problems and give us
perpetual
prosperity.
2003 Ron Paul 93:45
Lowering interest rates at times, especially early in the stages
of
monetary debasement, will produce the desired effects and stimulate
another
boom-bust cycle. But eventually the distortions and imbalances between
consumption and production, and the excessive debt, prevent the
monetary
stimulus from doing very much to boost the economy. Just look at what’s
been
happening in Japan for the last 12 years. When conditions get bad
enough the
only recourse will be to have major monetary reform to restore
confidence in the
system.
2003 Ron Paul 93:46
The two conditions that result from fiat money that are more
likely to
concern the people are inflation of prices and unemployment.
Unfortunately, few
realize these problems are directly related to our monetary system.
Instead of
demanding reforms, the chorus from both the right and left is for the
Fed to do
more of the same- only faster. If our problem stems from easy credit
and
interest-rate manipulation by the Fed, demanding more will not do much
to help.
Sadly, it will only make our problems worse.
2003 Ron Paul 93:47
Ironically, the more successful the money managers are at
restoring
growth or prolonging the boom with their monetary machinations, the
greater are
the distortions and imbalances in the economy. This means that when
corrections
are eventually forced upon us, they are much more painful and more
people suffer
with the correction lasting longer.
Today’s
Conditions
2003 Ron Paul 93:48
Today’s economic conditions reflect a fiat
monetary
system held together by many tricks and luck over the past 30 years.
The world
has been awash in paper money since removal of the last vestige of the
gold
standard by Richard Nixon when he buried the Bretton Woods agreement-
the gold
exchange standard- on August 15, 1971. Since then we’ve been on a
worldwide
paper dollar standard. Quite possibly we are seeing the beginning of
the end of
that system. If so, tough times are ahead for the United States and the
world
economy.
2003 Ron Paul 93:49
A paper monetary standard means there are no restraints on the
printing
press or on federal deficits. In 1971, M3 was $776 billion; today it
stands at
$8.9 trillion, an 1100% increase. Our national debt in 1971 was $408
billion;
today it stands at $6.8 trillion, a 1600% increase. Since that time,
our dollar
has lost almost 80% of its purchasing power. Common sense tells us that
this
process is not sustainable and something has to give. So far, no one in
Washington seems interested.
2003 Ron Paul 93:50
Although dollar creation is ultimately the key to its value,
many other
factors play a part in its perceived value, such as: the strength of
our
economy, our political stability, our military power, the benefit of
the dollar
being the key reserve currency of the world, and the relative weakness
of other
nation’s economies and their currencies. For these reasons, the dollar
has
enjoyed a special place in the world economy. Increases in productivity
have
also helped to bestow undeserved trust in our economy with consumer
prices, to
some degree, being held in check and fooling the people, at the urging
of the
Fed, that “inflation” is not a problem. Trust is an important factor in
how
the dollar is perceived. Sound money encourages trust, but trust can
come from
these other sources as well. But when this trust is lost, which always
occurs
with paper money, the delayed adjustments can hit with a vengeance.
2003 Ron Paul 93:51
Following the breakdown of the Bretton Woods agreement, the
world
essentially accepted the dollar as a replacement for gold, to be held
in reserve
upon which even more monetary expansion could occur. It was a great
arrangement
that up until now seemed to make everyone happy.
2003 Ron Paul 93:52
We own the printing press and create as many dollars as we
please. These
dollars are used to buy federal debt. This allows our debt to be
monetized and
the spendthrift Congress, of course, finds this a delightful
convenience and
never complains. As the dollars circulate through our fractional
reserve banking
system, they expand many times over. With our excess dollars at home,
our
trading partners are only too happy to accept these dollars in order to
sell us
their products. Because our dollar is relatively strong compared to
other
currencies, we can buy foreign products at a discounted price. In other
words,
we get to create the world’s reserve currency at no cost, spend it
overseas,
and receive manufactured goods in return. Our excess dollars go abroad
and other
countries-especially Japan and China- are only too happy to loan them
right back
to us by buying our government and GSE debt. Up until now both sides
have been
happy with this arrangement.
2003 Ron Paul 93:53
But all good things must come to an end and this arrangement is
ending.
The process put us into a position of being a huge debtor nation, with
our
current account deficit of more than $600 billion per year now
exceeding 5% of
our GDP. We now owe foreigners more than any other nation ever owed in
all of
history, over $3 trillion.
2003 Ron Paul 93:54
A debt of this sort always ends by the currency of the debtor
nation
decreasing in value. And that’s what has started to happen with the
dollar,
although it still has a long way to go. Our free lunch cannot last.
Printing
money, buying foreign products, and selling foreign holders of dollars
our debt
ends when the foreign holders of this debt become concerned with the
dollar’s
future value.
2003 Ron Paul 93:55
Once this process starts, interest rates will rise. And in
recent weeks,
despite the frenetic effort of the Fed to keep interest rates low, they
are
actually rising instead. The official explanation is that this is due
to an
economic rebound with an increase in demand for loans. Yet a decrease
in demand
for our debt and reluctance to hold our dollars is a more likely cause.
Only
time will tell whether the economy rebounds to any significant degree,
but one
must be aware that rising interest rates and serious price inflation
can also
reflect a weak dollar and a weak economy. The stagflation of the 1970s
baffled
many conventional economists, but not the Austrian economists. Many
other
countries have in the past suffered from the extremes of inflation in
an
inflationary depression, and we are not immune from that happening
here. Our
monetary and fiscal policies are actually conducive to such a scenario.
2003 Ron Paul 93:56
In the short run, the current system gives us a free ride, our
paper buys
cheap goods from overseas, and foreigners risk all by financing our
extravagance. But in the long run, we will surely pay for living beyond
our
means. Debt will be paid for one way or another. An inflated currency
always
comes back to haunt those who enjoyed the “benefits” of inflation.
Although
this process is extremely dangerous, many economists and politicians do
not see
it as a currency problem and are only too willing to find a villain to
attack.
Surprisingly the villain is often the foreigner who foolishly takes our
paper
for useful goods and accommodates us by loaning the proceeds back to
us. It’s
true that the system encourages exportation of jobs as we buy more and
more
foreign goods. But nobody understands the Fed role in this, so the
cries go out
to punish the competition with tariffs. Protectionism is a predictable
consequence of paper- money inflation, just as is the impoverishment of
an
entire middle class. It should
surprise no one that even in the boom phase of the 1990s, there were
still many
people who became poorer. Yet all we hear are calls for more government
mischief
to correct the problems with tariffs, increased welfare for the poor,
increased
unemployment benefits, deficit spending, and special interest tax
reduction,
none of which can solve the problems ingrained in a system that
operates with
paper money and a central bank.
2003 Ron Paul 93:57
If inflation were equitable and treated all classes the same, it
would be
less socially divisive. But while some see their incomes going up above
the rate
of inflation (movie stars, CEOs, stock brokers, speculators,
professional
athletes,) others see their incomes stagnate like lower-middle-income
workers,
retired people, and farmers. Likewise, the rise in the cost of living
hurts the
poor and middle class more than the wealthy. Because inflation treats
certain
groups unfairly, anger and envy are directed toward those who have
benefited.
2003 Ron Paul 93:58
The long-term philosophic problem with this is that the central
bank and
the fiat monetary system are not blamed; instead free market capitalism
is. This
is what happened in the 1930s. The Keynesians, who grew to dominate
economic
thinking at the time, erroneously blamed the gold standard, balanced
budgets,
and capitalism instead of tax increases, tariffs, and Fed policy. This
country
cannot afford another attack on economic liberty similar to what
followed the
1929 crash that ushered in the economic interventionism and
inflationism which
we have been saddled with ever since. These policies have brought us to
the
brink of another colossal economic downturn and we need to be prepared.
2003 Ron Paul 93:59
Big business and banking deserve our harsh criticism, but not
because
they are big or because they make a lot of money. Our criticism should
come
because of the special benefits they receive from a monetary system
designed to
assist the business class at the expense of the working class. Labor
leader
Samuel Gompers understood this and feared paper money and a central
bank while
arguing the case for gold. Since the monetary system is used to finance
deficits
that come from war expenditures, the military industrial complex is a
strong
supporter of the current monetary system.
2003 Ron Paul 93:60
Liberals foolishly believe that they can control the process and
curtail
the benefits going to corporations and banks by increasing the spending
for
welfare for the poor. But this never happens. Powerful financial
special
interests control the government spending process and throw only crumbs
to the
poor. The fallacy with this approach is that the advocates fail to see
the harm
done to the poor, with cost of living increases and job losses that are
a
natural consequence of monetary debasement. Therefore, even more
liberal control
over the spending process can never compensate for the great harm done
to the
economy and the poor by the Federal Reserve’s effort to manage an
unmanageable
fiat monetary system.
2003 Ron Paul 93:61
Economic intervention, financed by inflation, is high-stakes
government.
It provides the incentive for the big money to “invest” in gaining
government control. The big money comes from those who have it-
corporations and
banking interests. That’s why literally billions of dollars are spent
on
elections and lobbying. The only way to restore equity is to change the
primary
function of government from economic planning and militarism to
protecting
liberty. Without money, the poor and middle class are disenfranchised
since
access for the most part requires money. Obviously, this is not a
partisan issue
since both major parties are controlled by wealthy special interests.
Only the
rhetoric is different.
2003 Ron Paul 93:62
Our current economic problems are directly related to the
monetary
excesses of three decades and the more recent efforts by the Federal
Reserve to
thwart the correction that the market is forcing upon us. Since 1998,
there has
been a sustained attack on corporate profits. Before that, profits and
earnings
were inflated and fictitious, with WorldCom and Enron being prime
examples. In
spite of the 13 rate cuts since 2001, economic growth has not been
restored.
2003 Ron Paul 93:63
Paper money encourages speculation,
excessive debt, and
misdirected investments. The market, however, always moves in the
direction of
eliminating bad investments, liquidating debt, and reducing speculative
excesses. What we have seen, especially since the stock market peak of
early
2000, is a knock-down, drag-out battle between the Fed’s effort to
avoid a
recession, limit the recession, and stimulate growth with its only
tool, money
creation, while the market demands the elimination of bad investments
and excess
debt. The Fed was also motivated to save the stock market from
collapsing, which
in some ways they have been able to do. The market, in contrast, will
insist on
liquidation of unsustainable debt, removal of investment mistakes made
over
several decades, and a dramatic revaluation of the stock market.
In this go-around, the Fed has pulled out all the stops and is
more
determined than ever, yet the market is saying that new and healthy
growth
cannot occur until a major cleansing of the system occurs. Does anyone
think
that tariffs and interest rates of 1% will encourage the rebuilding of
our steel
and textile industries anytime soon? Obviously, something more is
needed.
2003 Ron Paul 93:64
The world central bankers are concerned with the lack of
response to low
interest rates and they have joined in a concerted effort to rescue the
world
economy through a policy of protecting the dollar’s role in the world
economy,
denying that inflation exists, and justifying unlimited expansion of
the dollar
money supply. To maintain confidence in the dollar, gold prices must be
held in
check. In the 1960s our government didn’t want a vote of no confidence
in the
dollar, and for a couple of decades, the price of gold was artificially
held at
$35 per ounce. That, of course, did
not last.
2003 Ron Paul 93:65
In recent years, there has been a coordinated effort by the
world central
bankers to keep the gold price in check by dumping part of their large
horde of
gold into the market. This has worked to a degree, but just as it could
not be
sustained in the 1960s, until Nixon declared the Bretton Woods
agreement dead in
1971, this effort will fail as well.
2003 Ron Paul 93:66
The market price of gold is important because it reflects the
ultimate
confidence in the dollar. An artificially low price for gold
contributes to
false confidence and when this is lost, more chaos ensues as the market
adjusts
for the delay.
2003 Ron Paul 93:67
Monetary policy today is designed to demonetize gold and
guarantee for
the first time that paper can serve as an adequate substitute in the
hands of
wise central bankers. Trust, then, has to be transferred from gold to
the
politicians and bureaucrats who are in charge of our monetary system.
This fails
to recognize the obvious reason that market participants throughout
history have
always preferred to deal with real assets, real money, rather than
government
paper. This contest between paper and honest money is of much greater
significance than many realize. We should know the outcome of this
struggle
within the next decade.
2003 Ron Paul 93:68
Alan Greenspan, although once a strong advocate for the gold
standard,
now believes he knows what the outcome of this battle will be. Is it
just
wishful thinking on his part? In an answer to a question I asked before
the
Financial Services Committee in February 2003, Chairman Greenspan made
an effort
to convince me that paper money now works as well as gold: “I have been
quite
surprised, and I must say pleased, by the fact that central banks have
been able
to effectively simulate many of the characteristics of the gold
standard by
constraining the degree of finance in a manner which effectively
brought down
the general price levels.” Earlier,
in December 2002, Mr. Greenspan spoke before the Economic Club of New
York and
addressed the same subject: “The record of the past 20 years appears to
underscore the observation that, although pressures for excess issuance
of fiat
money are chronic, a prudent monetary policy maintained over a
protracted period
of time can contain the forces of inflation.”
There are several problems with this optimistic assessment.
First,
efficient central bankers will never replace the
invisible hand
of a
commodity monetary standard. Second, using government price indexes to
measure
the success of a managed fiat currency should not be reassuring. These
indexes
can be arbitrarily altered to imply a successful monetary policy. Also,
price
increases of consumer goods are not a litmus test for measuring the
harm done by
the money managers at the Fed. The development of overcapacity,
excessive debt,
and speculation still occur, even when prices happen to remain
reasonably stable
due to increases in productivity and technology. Chairman Greenspan
makes his
argument because he hopes he’s right that sound money is no longer
necessary,
and also because it’s an excuse to keep the inflation of the money
supply
going for as long as possible, hoping a miracle will restore sound
growth to the
economy. But that’s only a dream.
2003 Ron Paul 93:69
We are now faced with an economy that is far from robust and may
get a
lot worse before rebounding. If not now, the time will soon come when
the
conventional wisdom of the last 90 years, since the Fed was created,
will have
to be challenged. If the conditions have changed and the routine of
fiscal and
monetary stimulation don’t work, we better prepare ourselves for the
aftermath
of a failed dollar system, which will not be limited to the United
States.
2003 Ron Paul 93:70
An interesting headline appeared in the
New York Times
on
July 31,
2003, “Commodity Costs Soar, But Factories Don’t Bustle.”
What is observed here is a sea change in attitude by investors
shifting
their investment funds and speculation into things of real value and
out of
financial areas, such as stocks and bonds.
This shift shows that in spite of the most aggressive Fed policy
in
history in the past three years, the economy remains sluggish and
interest rates
are actually rising. What can the Fed do? If
this trend continues, there’s little they can do. Not only do I believe
this
trend will continue, I believe it’s likely to accelerate. This policy
plays
havoc with our economy; reduces revenues, prompts increases in federal
spending,
increases in deficits and debt occur, and interest costs rise,
compounding our
budgetary woes.
2003 Ron Paul 93:71
The set of circumstances we face today are unique and quite
different
from all the other recessions the Federal Reserve has had to deal with.
Generally, interest rates are raised to slow the economy and dampen
price
inflation. At the bottom of the cycle interest rates are lowered to
stimulate
the economy. But this time around, the recession came in spite of huge
and
significant interest rate reductions by the Fed. This aggressive policy
did not
prevent the recession as was hoped; so far it has not produced the
desired
recovery. Now we’re at the bottom of the cycle and interest rates not
only
can’t be lowered, they are rising. This is a unique and dangerous
combination
of events. This set of circumstances can only occur with fiat money and
indicates that further manipulation of the money supply and interest
rates by
the Fed will have little if any effect.
2003 Ron Paul 93:72
The odds aren’t very good that the Fed will adopt a policy of
not
inflating the money supply because of some very painful consequences
that would
result. Also there would be a need to remove the pressure on the Fed to
accommodate the big spenders in Congress. Since there are essentially
only two
groups that have any influence on spending levels, big-government
liberals and
big- government conservatives, that’s not about to happen. Poverty is
going to
worsen due to our monetary and fiscal policies, so spending on the war
on
poverty will accelerate. Our obsession with policing the world, nation
building,
and pre-emptive war are not likely to soon go away, since both
Republican and
Democratic leaders endorse them. Instead, the cost of defending the
American
empire is going to accelerate. A country that is getting poorer cannot
pay these
bills with higher taxation nor can they find enough excess funds for
the people
to loan to the government. The only recourse is for the Federal Reserve
to
accommodate and monetize the federal debt, and that, of course, is
inflation.
2003 Ron Paul 93:73
It’s now admitted that the deficit is out of control, with next
year’s deficit reaching over one-half trillion dollars, not counting
the
billions borrowed from “trust funds” like
Social Security. I’m sticking to my
prediction that within a few years the national debt will increase over
$1
trillion in one fiscal year. So far, so good, no big market reactions,
the
dollar is holding its own and the administration and congressional
leaders are
not alarmed. But they ought to be.
2003 Ron Paul 93:74
I agree, it would be politically tough to bite the bullet and
deal with
our extravagance, both fiscal and monetary, but the repercussions here
at home
from a loss of confidence in the dollar throughout the world will not
be a
pretty sight to behold. I don’t see any way we are going to avoid the
crisis.
2003 Ron Paul 93:75
We do have some options to minimize the suffering. If we decided
to, we
could permit some alternatives to the current system of money and
banking we
have today.
2003 Ron Paul 93:76
Already, we took a big step in this direction. Gold was illegal
to own
between 1933 and 1976. Today millions of Americans do own some gold.
2003 Ron Paul 93:77
Gold contracts are legal, but a settlement of any dispute is
always in
Federal Reserve notes. This makes gold contracts of limited value.
2003 Ron Paul 93:78
For gold to be an alternative to Federal Reserve notes, taxes on
any
transactions in gold must be removed, both sales and capital gains.
2003 Ron Paul 93:79
Holding gold should be permitted in any pension fund, just as
dollars are
permitted in a checking account of these funds.
2003 Ron Paul 93:80
Repeal of all legal tender laws is a must. Sound money never
requires the
force of legal tender laws. Only paper money requires such laws.
2003 Ron Paul 93:81
These proposals, even if put in place tomorrow, would not solve
all the
problems we face. It would though, legalize freedom of choice in money,
and many
who worry about having their savings wiped out by a depreciating dollar
would at
least have another option. This option would ease some of the
difficulties that
are surely to come from runaway deficits in a weakening economy with
skyrocketing inflation.
2003 Ron Paul 93:82
Curbing the scope of government and limiting its size to that
prescribed
in the Constitution is the goal that we should seek. But political
reality makes
this option available to us only after a national bankruptcy has
occurred. We
need not face that catastrophe. What we need to do is to strictly limit
the
power of government to meddle in our economy and our personal affairs,
and stay
out of the internal affairs of other nations.
Conclusion
2003 Ron Paul 93:83
It’s no coincidence that
during the period
following the establishment of the Federal Reserve and the elimination
of the
gold standard, a huge growth in the size of the federal government and
its debt
occurred. Believers in big government, whether on the left or right,
vociferously reject the constraints on government growth that gold
demands.
Liberty is virtually impossible to protect when the people allow their
government to print money at will. Inevitably, the left will demand
more
economic interventionism, the right more militarism and empire
building. Both
sides, either inadvertently or deliberately, will foster corporatism.
Those
whose greatest interest is in liberty and self-reliance are lost in the
shuffle.
Though left and right have different goals and serve different
special-interest
groups, they are only too willing to compromise and support each
other’s
programs.
2003 Ron Paul 93:84
If unchecked, the economic and political chaos that comes from
currency
destruction inevitably leads to tyranny- a consequence of which the
Founders
were well aware. For 90 years we have lived with a central bank, with
the last
32 years absent of any restraint on money creation. The longer the
process
lasts, the faster the printing presses have to run in an effort to
maintain
stability. They are currently running at record rate. It was
predictable and is
understandable that our national debt is now expanding at a record rate.
2003 Ron Paul 93:85
The panicky effort of the Fed to stimulate economic growth does
produce
what it considers favorable economic reports, recently citing second
quarter
growth this year at 3.1%. But in the footnotes, we find that military
spending—almost all of which is overseas- was up an astounding 46%.
This, of
course, represents deficit spending financed by the Federal Reserve’s
printing
press. In the same quarter, after-tax corporate profits fell 3.4%. This
is
hardly a reassuring report on the health of our economy and merely
reflects the
bankruptcy of current economic policy.
2003 Ron Paul 93:86
Real economic growth won’t return until confidence in the entire
system
is restored. And that is impossible as long as it depends on the
politicians not
spending too much money and the Federal Reserve limiting its propensity
to
inflate our way to prosperity. Only sound money and limited government
can do
that.