The SPEAKER pro tempore. Under a
previous order of the House, the gentleman
from Texas (Mr. PAUL) is recognized
for 5 minutes.
2007 Ron Paul 57:1
Mr. PAUL. Mr. Speaker, good intentions frequently lead to unintended bad
consequences. Tough choices, doing
what is right, often leads to unanticipated
good results.
2007 Ron Paul 57:2
The growing demand by the American people for us to leave Iraq prompts
the naysayers to predict disaster in the
Middle East if we do. Of course, these
merchants of fear are the same ones
who predicted invading and occupying
Iraq would be a slam-dunk operation,
that we would be welcomed as liberators
and oil revenues would pay the
bills with minimum loss of American
lives. All this hyperbole, while ignoring
the precise warnings by our intelligence
community of the great difficulties
that would lie ahead.
2007 Ron Paul 57:3
The chaos that this pre-emptive undeclared war has created in Iraq has
allowed the al Qaeda to establish a
foothold in Iraq and the strategic interests
of Iran to be served. The unintended
consequences have been numerous.
A well-intentioned but flawed policy
that ignored credible warnings of
how things could go awry has produced
conditions that have led to a war dominated
by procrastination without victory
or resolution in sight.
2007 Ron Paul 57:4
Those who want a total military victory, which no one has yet defined,
dont have the troops, the money, the
equipment, or the support of a large
majority of the American people to do
so. Those in Congress who have heard
the cry of the electorate to end the war
refuse to do so out of fear the demagogues
will challenge their patriotism
and their support for the troops. So
nothing happens except more of the
same. The result is continued stalemate
with the current policy and the
daily sacrifice of American lives.
2007 Ron Paul 57:5
This wait-and-see attitude and a promised reassessment of events in
Iraq late this summer strongly motivates
the insurgents to accelerate the
killing of Americans to influence the
coming decision in 3 months. In contrast,
a clear decision to leave would
prompt a wait-and-see attitude, a de
facto cease fire, in anticipation of our
leaving; a perfect time for Iraqi factions
to hold their fire on each and on
our troops and just possibly start talking
with each other.
2007 Ron Paul 57:6
Most Americans do not anticipate a military victory in Iraq, yet the Washington
politicians remain frozen in
their unwillingness to change our policy
there, fearful of the dire predictions
that conditions can only get
worse if they leave. They refuse to
admit the conditions of foreign occupation
is the key ingredient that unleashed
the civil war now raging in
Iraq and serves as a recruiting device
for al Qaeda. It is time for a change in
American foreign policy.
2007 Ron Paul 57:7
But what if those who were so wrong in their predictions as to the outcome
of their invasion are equally wrong
about what might happen if we leave?
Unanticipated good results may well
occur. There is room for optimism. The
naysayers have been wrong before and
are probably going to be wrong again.
2007 Ron Paul 57:8
The truth is, no one knows exactly what would happen if we leave. Civil
strife may last for a while longer, but
one thing is certain, no longer will
American lives be lost. That in itself
would be a blessing and reason enough
for doing so.
2007 Ron Paul 57:9
After we left Vietnam under dire circumstances, chaos continued, but no
more American lives were lost. But,
subsequently, we and the Vietnamese
have achieved in peace what could not
be achieved in war. We now are friends.
We trade with each other, and we invest
in Vietnam. The result proves the
sound advice of the Founders: Trade in
friendship with all nations, entangling
alliances with none. Example and persuasion
is far superior to force of arms
for promoting Americas goodness.
2007 Ron Paul 57:10
It is claimed that we cannot leave until a new military faction is trained
to fill the vacuum. But the question is,
will there really be a vacuum, or are
we talking about our proxy army being
trained well enough to continue to do
battle with the very strong militias already
in place? Lack of training for the
local militias has never been a problem
for them.
2007 Ron Paul 57:11
The real problem with our plans to train a faction of Iraqis to carry out
our plans for the Middle East is that
the majority of Iraqis object and the
army trainees are not as motivated as
are the members of the various militias.
The Kurds have a militia capable
of maintaining order in their region.
Sadr has a huge militia that is anxious
to restore order and have us gone. The
Badr brigade is trained to defend its interests.
And the Sunnis are armed and
determined. Our presence only serves
to stir the pot by our troops being a
target of nearly all the groups who are
positioning themselves for our anticipated
departure.
2007 Ron Paul 57:12
After we leave, just maybe the Shiites and the Sunnis will develop an alliance
based on nationalism. They already
talk of this possibility, and it
could include the Badr brigade and the
Sadr militias. A coalition like this
could serve as an efficient deterrent to
al Qaeda and Iran since they all share
this goal.
2007 Ron Paul 57:13
Al Qaeda and Iran were not influential in Iraq before the invasion and would not be welcomed
after we leave. There is cooperation
now, motivated by the shared desire of the
Sunnis and the Shiites to oppose our occupation.
Theres definitely a potential that the
Iraqis may do much better in dealing with their
own problems than anyone can imagine once
we leave. Already there are developing coalitions
of Sunni and Shiites in the Iraqi parliament
that seek this resolve.
2007 Ron Paul 57:14
It is claimed by some that leaving the Middle East would not serve the interests of
Israel. Israel with its nuclear arsenal is quite
capable of defending itself under all circumstances.
Its dependency on us frequently
prevents it from taking action that otherwise
may be in its best interests because we do not
approve of such actions. Israels overtures to
Syria and other neighbors would not be road
blocked by U.S. policy if we left the Middle
East. With us gone Israel would have greater
motivation to talk with other Arab countries as
they did with Egypt. It just may be that Israel
would accept the overtures made by the Arab
League for a comprehensive peace. The Arab
League might be an acceptable alternative to
the U.S. influencing policy in the region.
2007 Ron Paul 57:15
Were told we cant let this happen or well lose control of the oil and gasoline prices will
soar — exactly what has happened with our invasion.
And if the neo-conservatives have
their way there will be an attack on Iran. If that
occurs, then watch what happens to the price
of oil.
2007 Ron Paul 57:16
No matter who ends up controlling the oil they will always have a need for western markets.
Instead of oil prices soaring with our
leaving, production may go up and prices fall
A change in our foreign policy is overdue.