HON. RON PAUL
OF TEXAS
IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
Thursday, July 17, 2003
2003 Ron Paul 79:1
Mr. PAUL. Mr. Speaker, I rise to introduce the Monetary Freedom and Accountability Act.
This simple bill takes a step toward restoring
Congress constitutional authority over U.S.
monetary policy by requiring congressional approval
before the President or the Treasury
secretary buys or sells gold. I also ask for
unanimous consent to insert into the RECORD
articles by Kelly Patricia O Meara of Insight
magazine detailing the evidence supporting allegations
that the United States Government
has manipulated the price of gold over the
past decade and the harm such manipulation
caused American investors, taxpayers, consumers,
and workers.
2003 Ron Paul 79:2
Federal dealings in the gold market have the potential to seriously disrupt the free market
by either artificially inflating or deflating the
price of gold. Given golds importance to
Americas (and the worlds) monetary system,
any federal interference in the gold market will
have ripple effects through the entire economy.
For example, if the government were to
intervene to artificially lower the price of gold,
the result would be to hide the true effects of
an inflationary policy until the damage was too
severe to remain out of the public eye.
2003 Ron Paul 79:3
By artificially deflating the price of gold, federal intervention in the gold market can reduce
the values of private gold holdings, adversely
affecting millions of investors. These investors
rely on their gold holdings to protect them
from the effects of our misguided fiat currency
system. Federal dealings in gold can also adversely
affect those countries with large gold
mines, many of which are currently ravished
by extreme poverty. Mr. Speaker, restoring a
vibrant gold market could do more than any
foreign aid program to restore economic
growth to those areas.
2003 Ron Paul 79:4
While the Treasury denies it is dealing in gold, the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee
(GATA) has uncovered evidence suggesting
that the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, as
detailed in the attached article. GATA alleges
that the Treasury, operating through the Exchange-
Stabilization Fund and in cooperation
with major banks and the International Monetary
Fund, has been interfering in the gold
market with the goal of lowering the price of
gold. The purpose of this policy has been to
disguise the true effects of the monetary bubble
responsible for the artificial prosperity of
the 1990s, and to protect the politically-powerful
banks that are heavy invested in gold derivatives.
GATA believes federal actions to
drive down the price of gold help protect the
profits of these banks at the expense of investors,
consumers, and taxpayers around the
world.
2003 Ron Paul 79:5
GATA has also produced evidence that American officials are involved in gold transactions.
Alan Greenspan himself referred to
the federal governments power to manipulate
the price of gold at hearings before the House
Banking Committee and the Senate Agricultural
Committee in July, 1998: Nor can private
counterparts restrict supplies of gold, another
commodity whose derivatives are often
traded over-the-counter, where central banks
stand ready to lease gold in increasing quantities
should the price rise..
2003 Ron Paul 79:6
Mr. Speaker, while I certainly share GATAs concerns over the effects of federal dealings
in the gold market, my bill in no way interferes
with the ability of the federal government to
buy or sell gold. It simply requires that before
the executive branch engages in such transactions,
Congress has the chance to review it,
debate it, and approve it.
2003 Ron Paul 79:7
Given the tremendous effects on the American economy from federal dealings in the
gold market, it certainly is reasonable that the
peoples representatives have a role in approving
these transactions, especially since
Congress has a neglected but vital constitutional
role V in overseeing monetary policy.
Therefore, I urge all my colleagues to stand
up for sound economics, open government,
and Congress constitutional role in monetary
policy by cosponsoring the Monetary Freedom
and Accountability Act.
[From Insight Magazine, July 8, 2003]
PANIC IS NEAR IF THE GOLD IS GONE
(By Kelly Patricia O Meara)
Gold. Its been called a barbarous relic, and
those who focus on its historic role as a
standard of value frequently are labeled lunatic
fringe. Given the recent highs in the
gold market, it looks like the crazies have
been having a hell of a year. With the stock
market taking its third yearly loss, gold returned
nearly 30 percent to investors, moving
from $255 an ounce to six-year highs of
$380.
2003 Ron Paul 79:9
Just about every analyst and expert on Wall Street willing to mention any of this
has been quick to explain that the increase
in the price of gold is due to impending war
with Iraq. But hard-money analysts are arguing
that should the United States go to
war it will be of very little consequence to
the price of gold — a momentary blip — because
gold is a commodity and its price a
matter of supply and demand.
2003 Ron Paul 79:10
The lunatic fringe long has argued that the price of gold was being manipulated by a
gold cartel involving J.P. Morgan Chase,
Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs,
the Bank for International Settlements
(BIS), the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve,
but that the manipulation had been
sufficiently exposed to require that it be
abandoned, producing the steady upward increase
in the price of the shiny, yellow
metal.
2003 Ron Paul 79:11
In fact the gold bugs, as theyre known, are so sure of their research that not only do
they believe the price of gold will continue
to climb, but many are expecting to see
prices of $800 to $1,000 an ounce. Until recently,
most in the gold and financial worlds
scoffed at such a prediction, but last month
the Bank of Portugal made an announcement
that shocked those who credit official
gold-reserve data and added fuel to the contention
of the gold bugs that the gold-cartel
manipulation is in meltdown.
2003 Ron Paul 79:12
What the Bank of Portugal revealed in its 2001 annual report is that 433 tonnes [metric
tons] of gold — some 70 percent of its gold reserve
— either have been lent or swapped into
the market. According to Bill Murphy, chairman
of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee
(GATA), a nonprofit organization
that researches and studies the gold market
and reports its findings at
www.LeMetropoleCafe.com: This gold is
gone — and it lends support to our years of research
that the central banks do not have
the 32,000 tonnes of gold in reserve that they
claim. The big question is: How many other
central banks are in the same predicament
as the Portuguese?
2003 Ron Paul 79:13
Murphy explains: The essence of the rigging of the gold market is that the bullion
banks borrowed central-bank gold from various
vaults and flooded the market with supply,
keeping the price down. The GATA camp
has uncovered information that shows that
around 15,000 to 16,000 tonnes of gold have
left the central banks, leaving the centralbank
reserves with about half of what is officially
reported.
2003 Ron Paul 79:14
This is why those who follow such arcana are predicting an explosion in the price of
gold. According to Murphy, The gold establishment
says that the gold loans from the
central banks are only 4,600 to 5,000 tonnes,
but his information is that these loans are
more than three times that number, which
means theyre running out of physical gold
to continue the scheme.
2003 Ron Paul 79:15
According to Murphy, The cartel has been able to get away with lying about the
amount of gold in reserve because the International
Monetary Fund [IMF] is the Arthur
Andersen of the gold world. He has provided
to Insight documents from central banks
confirming that the IMF instructed them to
count both lent and swapped gold as a reserve.
In other words, the IMF told the central
banks to deceive the investment and
gold world[s]. Once this gold is lent [or]
swapped, its gone until such time as it can
be repurchased. And with the skyrocketing
price of gold were now seeing, it would be
incredibly expensive, let alone nearly physically
impossible, to get it back.
2003 Ron Paul 79:16
What is important to understand, says Murphy, is that there is a mine and scrap
supply deficit of 1,500 tonnes, which is an
enormous deficit when yearly mine supply is
only 2,500 tonnes and going down. On top of
that, there are these under-reported gold
loans and other derivatives that are on the
short side. There is no way to pay this gold
back to the central banks without the price
of gold going up hundreds of dollars per
ounce. So the peasants and women of the
world will have to sell their jewelry at say
$800 an ounce to bail out these short positions
or someone is going to have to tell the
world that they dont have the gold that
they have reported, shaking the worlds financial
system to its core.
2003 Ron Paul 79:17
The gold bugs appear to be basing their identification of a world gold shortage on industry
data, much of which has been summarized
in two papers prepared by four different
gold analysts at different times using separate
methods. The first paper was written by
governmental investment adviser Frank
Veneroso and his associate, mining analyst
Declan Costelloe. Titled Gold Derivatives,
Gold Lending: Official Management of the
Gold Price and the Current State of the Gold
Market, it was presented at the 2002 International
Gold Symposium in Lima, Peru,
and estimates the gold deficit of the central
banks at between 10,000 and 15,000 tonnes.
The second paper, Gold Derivatives: Moving
Towards Checkmate, by Mike Bolser, a retired
businessman, and Reginald H. Howe, a
private investor and proprietor of the
Website www.goldensextant.com, estimates
the alleged shortage of central-bank gold at
between 15,000 and 16,000 tonnes — nearly a
decades worth of mine production.
2003 Ron Paul 79:18
George Milling-Stanley, manager of goldmarket analysis for the World Gold Council
(WGC), a private organization made up of
leading gold-mining companies that promotes
the acquisition and retention of gold,
is aware of these papers and shortage numbers
but tells Insight that there are no official
[gold-reserve] reports. That is, The
central banks are under no obligation to report
what they lend into the market, what
they place on deposit and what they do with
their swaps, so theres a conventional-wisdom
view, and a couple of different bodies
have done some fairly serious research in[to]
this and have come up with a figure [of]
around 4,500 to 5,000 tonnes.
2003 Ron Paul 79:19
Stanleys estimate is based on data provided by so-called serious researchers, including
Londonbased Gold Fields Mineral
Services (GFMS), one of the worlds foremost
precious-metals consultants, and a report titled
Gold Derivatives: The Market View,
commissioned by the WGC to London-based
Virtual Metals Consultancy. While these two
groups appear to be the research choice of
the official gold world, there are in fact no
official figures, and both studies, like the
Veneroso/Costelloe and Bolser/Howe reports,
are based on interviews, data analysis and
other research generally available to the industry.
2003 Ron Paul 79:20
Those who believe the central banks to have misrepresented their actual gold holdings
place much of the blame for the lack of
transparency on the shoulders of the IMF,
which presents itself as being responsible for
ensuring the stability of the international financial
system. Although the IMF would not
respond to questions about its gold-loan/
swap requirements, what information has
been made public appears to support GATAs
understanding of how central-bank reserves
are reported.
2003 Ron Paul 79:21
For example, in October 2001 the IMF responded to questions posed by GATA by saying
it is not correct that the IMF insists
members record swapped gold as an asset
when a legal change in ownership has occurred.
According to this response, The
IMF in fact recommends that swapped gold
be excluded from reserve assets. Nonetheless,
says GATA, there is abundant evidence
that this is not the case, citing as an example
the Central Bank of the Philippines
(BSP).
2003 Ron Paul 79:22
A footnote on the Website of the Central Bank of the Philippines (www.bsp.gov.ph) in
fact directly contradicts the IMFs claim:
Beginning January 2000, in compliance with
the requirements of the IMFs reserves and
foreign-currency-liquidity template under
the Special Data Dissemination Standard
(SDDS), gold swaps undertaken by the BSP
with noncentral banks shall be treated as
collateralized loans. Thus gold under the
swap arrangement remains to be part of reserves,
and a liability is deemed incurred
corresponding to the proceeds of the swap.
2003 Ron Paul 79:23
The European Central Bank (ECB) also made it clear that the IMF policy is to include
swaps and loans as reserves. The ECB
responded to GATA: Following the recommendations
set out in the IMF operational
guidelines of the Data Template on
International Reserve and Foreign Currency
Liquidity, which were developed in 1999, all
reversible gold transactions, including gold
swaps, are recorded as collateralized loans in
balance of payments and international investment-
position statistics. This treatment
implies that the gold account would remain
unchanged on the balance sheet. The Bank
of Finland and the Bank of Portugal also
confirmed in writing that the swapped gold
remains a reserve asset under IMF regulations.
2003 Ron Paul 79:24
Although the WGCs Stanley stands by the data provided by the industrys serious researchers,
he insists he cannot say for certain
that the numbers are accurate. There
is no requirement on any country to tell the
IMF how much gold it owns, says Stanley.
The requirement is to tell the IMF how
much gold it has decided to place in its official
reserves. Nobody knows whether that is
the total of what they own or not. Obviously
they cant report more than what they own,
but they can certainly report less if they
chose to. That gold may have been lent out,
but is nevertheless still owed to them. Its a
bit like any company reporting a cash position.
It will report cash on hand and cash
due — money owed by other people. Im not
saying this is ideal, but this is how it
works.
2003 Ron Paul 79:25
John Embry, the manager of last years best-performing North American gold fund
and manager of the Royal Precious Metals
Fund for the Royal Bank of Canada, says he
is putting his and his clients money on the
lunatic fringe in this dispute: Ive examined
all the evidence gathered by GATA and
everyone else, and I think these guys are
anything but lunatics. Theyve done their
homework and have unearthed a lot of interesting
stuff. The problem, though, is that the
market is sufficiently opaque that there is
really no way to know who is right and who
is wrong.
2003 Ron Paul 79:26
The fact is, continues Embry, a lot of this stuff is based on estimations. I do however
believe that, based on the evidence dug
up by Veneroso and Howe, they are presenting
equally if not more credible numbers
than the other side. I find the campaign to
undermine their credence simply bizarre. I
think these guys [GATA] are right and that
the number put out by Gold Fields Mineral
Services as the amount of gold loaned out by
the central banks is definitely wrong. Now,
whether its as much as 15,000 is up for interpretation.
The recent release by the Bank of
Portugal is important. When a central bank
has 70 percent of its gold loaned or swapped,
I dont think it is operating independently,
and I suspect there are an awful lot of them
that have loaned out much more than has
been reported.
2003 Ron Paul 79:27
Embry says, Ive made a fortune for my clients investing in gold and gold stocks because
I have operated on the premise that
the Veneroso/Howe reports are right — that
gold was significantly undervalued in the
daily quote and that it was going a lot higher.
The circumstantial evidence, and I bet
my clients money on it, was very much in
favor of the guys who said a great deal more
central-bank gold had entered the market
and driven the price down far too low. GATA
has had this story from day one. I think that
theyre right and that officialdom doesnt
want this exposed. GATA is willing to have
a public debate but the gold world wont debate.
I think there is a tacit admission of
anyone who has an IQ above that of a grapefruit
that Veneroso and Howe have a pretty
good point. Im an analyst who has looked at
both sides of the issue and I bet my money
on GATA. So far theyve been right.
2003 Ron Paul 79:28
Whether the gold bugs are right about the reasons for the meteoric rise in the price of
gold is uncertain, but, according to GATAs
Murphy: Its all the more reason to have
the central banks come clean about the actual
amount of gold that physically exists in
their reserves. Either way, the price of gold
will continue to rise because, as we already
know and others are discovering, the gold is
gone.